Election odds
Live odds on elections around the world, set by traders on Polymarket.
Open PolydictTop elections markets by 24h volume
Polymarket odds as of Sep 25, 10:04 PM UTC
- 1
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202818%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - 2
Presidential Election Winner 202821%JD Vance - 3
Next French Presidential Election38%Marine Le Pen - 4
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?53%Gadi Eizenkot - 5
Maine Senate Election Winner67%Troy Jackson (D) - 6
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms64%Democrats Sweep - 7
Republican Presidential Nominee 202851%J.D. Vance - 8
Israeli Legislative Election Winner59%Yashar - 9
California Governor Election Winner95%Xavier Becerra - 10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place75%Flávio Bolsonaro - 11
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?57%Aleksandar Vučić - 12
Los Angeles Mayoral Election57%Nithya Raman - 13
Which party will win the House in 2026?93%Democratic Party - 14
Next Prime Minister of Sweden87%Magdalena Andersson - 15Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory61%Lula da Silva <5%
- 16
Idaho Senate Election Winner89%Jim Risch (R) - 17
Kansas Senate Election Winner70%Roger Marshall (R) - 18
Alaska Senate Election Winner73%Mary Peltola - 19
Taipei Mayor Election Winner82%Chiang Wan-an - 20
Texas Governor Election Winner77%Greg Abbott (R) - 21
Next Prime Minister of Romania?33%Sorin Grindeanu - 22
TX-05 House Election Winner95%Lance Gooden (R) - 23Texas Senate Election Winner62%James Talarico (D)
- 24
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?2%Neutrality initiative - 25
Florida Governor Election Winner78%Byron Donalds (R) - 26
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?63%Democratic Party - 27
MO-02 House Election Winner68%Ann Wagner (R) - 28
Minnesota Senate Election Winner92%Peggy Flanagan (D) - 29
Nebraska Senate Election Winner 70%Pete Ricketts (R) - 30
FL-26 House Election Winner86%Mario Díaz-Balart (R) - 31
IL-16 House Election Winner97%Darin LaHood (R) - 32Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner74%Lula
- 33
Bulgaria Presidential Election74%Iliana Iotova - 34
Michigan Senate Election Winner72%Abdul El-Sayed (D) - 35
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?37%≤47 - 36
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?41%4-6% - 37
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner82%Eduardo Paes - 38
VT-AL House Election Winner98%Becca Balint (D) - 39
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?66%Democratic - 40
Vermont Governor Election Winner84%Phil Scott (R)
How prediction market odds work
Each market asks a question about a future event. Shares trade between $0 and $1, so a price of 64¢ reads as a 64% chance. If the outcome you hold happens, each share pays $1; if not, it pays nothing. Markets resolve by the rules and resolution source on Polymarket. More in the FAQ.