Tech prediction markets
Live odds on AI, product launches and the tech industry, set by traders on Polymarket.
Open PolydictTop tech markets by 24h volume
Polymarket odds as of Sep 25, 10:04 PM UTC
- 1
Trump renames AI by...?72%December 31 - 2
Which company has the best AI model end of September?99%Anthropic - 3
Largest Company end of September?99%NVIDIA - 4
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?70%December 31, 2027 - 5
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?23%PayPal - 6
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?79%1500+ - 7Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?92%45%+
- 8
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?77%October 31 - 9
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?94%Anthropic - 10Largest Company end of December 2026?75%NVIDIA
- 11
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?76%December 31, 2027 - 12
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?64%December 31, 2027 - 13
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?93%Alibaba - 14
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?29%Yes - 15
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)38%Google - 16Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)83%Anthropic
- 17
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?17%Yes - 18
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?78%$0.60+ - 19
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 1497%October 31 - 20#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)38%Meta
- 213rd Largest Company end of September?98%Alphabet
- 22Which company has best AI model end of 2026?74%Anthropic
- 23
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?20%December 31, 2029 - 24
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?12%Yes - 25How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?63%0
- 26
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?21%December 31, 2029 - 27
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?97%DeepSeek - 28
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?60%5-7 - 29
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?33%Moonshot - 30Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?92%Alibaba
- 31Next Claude Sonnet released by...?99%December 31
- 32Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?35%1470+
- 33
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?4%Yes - 34
Critical Discord Incident by...?37%October 31 - 35
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?41%Dolly Parton - 362nd Largest Company end of September?98%Apple
- 37
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?86%OpenAI - 38
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?83%OpenAI - 39Discord IPO Closing Market Cap57%No IPO by December 31, 2027
- 40
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?83%OpenAI
How prediction market odds work
Each market asks a question about a future event. Shares trade between $0 and $1, so a price of 64¢ reads as a 64% chance. If the outcome you hold happens, each share pays $1; if not, it pays nothing. Markets resolve by the rules and resolution source on Polymarket. More in the FAQ.