Weather prediction markets

Live odds on temperatures, storms and climate records, set by traders on Polymarket.

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Top weather markets by 24h volume

Polymarket odds as of Sep 25, 10:04 PM UTC

  1. 1Highest temperature in Paris on September 25?$94K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%28°C
  2. 2Highest temperature in Seattle on September 25?$62K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes97%60-61°F
  3. 3Highest temperature in Miami on September 25?$55K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%90-91°F
  4. 4Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 26?$54K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes95%23°C
  5. 5Highest temperature in NYC on September 25?$53K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes96%68-69°F
  6. 6Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25?$51K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes99%32°C
  7. 7Highest temperature in London on September 25?$48K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%24°C
  8. 8Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 25?$39K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%23°C
  9. 9Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?$33K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes97%26°C
  10. 10Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 25?$29K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%22°C
  11. 11Highest temperature in Milan on September 25?$28K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%22°C
  12. 12Lowest temperature in Paris on September 25?$27K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes99%19°C or higher
  13. 13Highest temperature in Madrid on September 26?$25K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes52%34°C
  14. 14Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 25?$25K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%76-77°F
  15. 15Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 25?$24K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes99%70-71°F
  16. 16Highest temperature in NYC on September 26?$24K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes32%62-63°F
  17. 17Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 25?$23K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%28°C
  18. 18Highest temperature in Moscow on September 25?$23K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%12°C
  19. 19Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 25?$22K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%16°C
  20. 20Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 25?$21K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes99%76-77°F
  21. 21Highest temperature in Madrid on September 25?$21K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%35°C
  22. 22Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 25?$21K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%27°C
  23. 23Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 25?$20K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%13°C
  24. 24Highest temperature in Munich on September 25?$19K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%19°C
  25. 25Highest temperature in Toronto on September 25?$18K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%21°C
  26. 26Highest temperature in Busan on September 26?$18K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes49%22°C
  27. 27Highest temperature in Wellington on September 26?$18K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes61%15°C
  28. 28Highest temperature in Paris on September 26?$18K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes42%24°C
  29. 29Highest temperature in Dallas on September 25?$17K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes99%92-93°F
  30. 30Highest temperature in Chicago on September 25?$16K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%64-65°F
  31. 31Highest temperature in Denver on September 25?$15K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes97%74-75°F
  32. 32Highest temperature in Ankara on September 25?$15K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%20°C
  33. 33Highest temperature in Manila on September 26?$15K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes48%33°C
  34. 34Highest temperature in Singapore on September 26?$15K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes46%33°C
  35. 35Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 26?$15K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes39%31°C
  36. 36Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 25?$14K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +10 more outcomes>99%37°C
  37. 37Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 26?$14K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes51%80-81°F
  38. 38Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 25?$13K 24h vol · Ends Sep 25, 2026 · +7 more outcomes>99%24°C
  39. 39Highest temperature in Munich on September 26?$13K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes53%23°C
  40. 40Highest temperature in Beijing on September 26?$13K 24h vol · Ends Sep 26, 2026 · +10 more outcomes35%27°C

How prediction market odds work

Each market asks a question about a future event. Shares trade between $0 and $1, so a price of 64¢ reads as a 64% chance. If the outcome you hold happens, each share pays $1; if not, it pays nothing. Markets resolve by the rules and resolution source on Polymarket. More in the FAQ.