Culture prediction markets
Live odds on entertainment, awards and internet culture, set by traders on Polymarket.
Open PolydictTop culture markets by 24h volume
Polymarket odds as of Sep 25, 10:04 PM UTC
- 1
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?23%180-199 - 2Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?30%180-199
- 3Elon Musk # tweets September 24 - September 26, 2026?87%40-64
- 4
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?90%70-80M - 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?4%December 31 - 6
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?6%Yes - 7
"Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office59%16-19m - 8
VMA Video of the Year 202663%The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) - 9
"Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office65%<13m - 10
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?99%950 - 960m - 11
"Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office44%17-20m - 12
#1 Box Office This Weekend?72%Avengers: Endgame Encore - 13VMA Best Dance 202648%Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress)
- 14Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?61%40-64
- 15
Big Brother Season 28 Winner48%Drew Campbell - 16VMA Best Alternative 202682%The Cure (Olivia Rodrigo)
- 17
Next James Bond actor?36%Jack Lowden - 18VMA Best Country 202690%Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
- 19Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?35%1000+
- 20VMA Best Latin 202649%Nuevayol (Bad Bunny)
- 21Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?31%840-879
- 22
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?95%Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1 - 23
"Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office40%25-28m - 24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?2%Yes - 25VMA Artist of the Year 202640%Taylor Swift
- 26
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?72%1 - 27
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 1497%October 31 - 28
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?39%December 31, 2028 - 29
Critical Discord Incident by...?37%October 31 - 30
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?88%Unabomber - 31
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?1%Yes - 32
Top Spotify Artist 202684%Bad Bunny - 33
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?41%Dolly Parton - 34#2 Spotify Artist 202663%Drake
- 35VMA Best Hip-Hop 202668%Safe (Cardi B featuring Kehlani)
- 36
Will Drake release a new album by...?28%December 31 - 37
"Resident Evil" 2nd Weekend Box Office81%<26m - 38Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?<1%Yes
- 39
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?2%Yes - 40Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place61%Rick Devens
How prediction market odds work
Each market asks a question about a future event. Shares trade between $0 and $1, so a price of 64¢ reads as a 64% chance. If the outcome you hold happens, each share pays $1; if not, it pays nothing. Markets resolve by the rules and resolution source on Polymarket. More in the FAQ.