POLYDICT

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Politics · $153K volume · Ends Apr 1, 2028

Outcomes

  • Alberto Núñez Feijóo75%
  • Pedro Sánchez22%
  • Santiago Abascal2%
  • Isabel Díaz Ayuso1%
  • Yolanda Díaz<1%
  • María Jesús Montero<1%
  • Ernest Urtasun<1%
  • Aitor Esteban<1%
  • Miguel Tellado<1%
  • Ester Muñoz<1%
  • Pepa Millán<1%
  • Cuca Gamarra<1%

+4 more outcomes

Rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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