Bitcoin Up or Down: hourly windows
The Bitcoin hourly Up or Down market open now on Polymarket, its odds and price to beat, and how the last 12 windows settled.
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Polymarket odds as of Oct 3, 1:02 PM ET
Next: 2:00–3:00 PM ET · 3 Oct
The last 12 hourly windows
5 Up, 5 Down, 2 not settled
| Window (ET) | Price to beat | Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00–1:00 PM ET · 3 Oct | $84,867.27 | — | Not settled |
| 11:00 AM–12:00 PM ET · 3 Oct | $84,856.01 | — | Not settled |
| 10:00–11:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,870.03 | $84,856.01 | ▼ Down |
| 9:00–10:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,888.02 | $84,870.04 | ▼ Down |
| 8:00–9:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,672.01 | $84,888.02 | ▲ Up |
| 7:00–8:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,636.13 | $84,672.01 | ▲ Up |
| 6:00–7:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,600.00 | $84,636.13 | ▲ Up |
| 5:00–6:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,616.02 | $84,600.01 | ▼ Down |
| 4:00–5:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,560.00 | $84,616.01 | ▲ Up |
| 3:00–4:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,586.01 | $84,560.00 | ▼ Down |
| 2:00–3:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,652.09 | $84,586.00 | ▼ Down |
| 1:00–2:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,577.23 | $84,652.09 | ▲ Up |
A result is shown only once Polymarket has closed the window and its prices name a side; until then it reads “Not settled”. The price to beat and close are the figures Polymarket posted for each window, left blank where they were not posted or disagree with the result.
How a hourly window settles
Settles on Binance BTC/USDT — the 1-hour candle's close against its open. Ties resolve Up.
Polymarket’s data feed posts the price to beat shortly after each window opens. How Up or Down works.
Hourly Up or Down on other assets
Ethereum Up or Down hourlySolana Up or Down hourlyXRP Up or Down hourly