Bitcoin Up or Down

Every Bitcoin Up or Down window on Polymarket, from 5-minute to daily: the window open now, its odds and price to beat, and the recent results.

Polymarket odds as of Oct 3, 12:38 PM ET

5-minute windows

All 5-minute results
12:35–12:40 PM ET · 3 OctOpen this window
▲ Up98%▼ Down3%
Price to beat
Polymarket’s data feed posts it at the close; the window’s own page reads it from polymarket.com as soon as the window opens.

Last 12: 7 Up, 5 Down

  1. Up
  2. Up
  3. Up
  4. Up
  5. Up
  6. Down
  7. Down
  8. Down
  9. Down
  10. Down
  11. Up
  12. Up

Settles on Chainlink BTC/USD — the 60-second average at the close — against the price at the open. Ties resolve Up.

15-minute windows

All 15-minute results
12:30–12:45 PM ET · 3 OctOpen this window
▲ Up89%▼ Down12%
Price to beat
Polymarket’s data feed posts it at the close; the window’s own page reads it from polymarket.com as soon as the window opens.

Last 12: 7 Up, 5 Down

  1. Up
  2. Up
  3. Down
  4. Up
  5. Down
  6. Up
  7. Up
  8. Up
  9. Down
  10. Up
  11. Down
  12. Down

Settles on Chainlink BTC/USD — the 60-second average at the close — against the price at the open. Ties resolve Up.

Hourly windows

All hourly results
12:00–1:00 PM ET · 3 OctOpen this window
▲ Up22%▼ Down79%
Price to beat
$84,867.27

Last 12: 5 Up, 6 Down, 1 not settled

  1. Down
  2. Up
  3. Down
  4. Down
  5. Up
  6. Down
  7. Up
  8. Up
  9. Up
  10. Down
  11. Down
  12. ?

Settles on Binance BTC/USDT — the 1-hour candle's close against its open. Ties resolve Up.

4-hour windows

All 4-hour results
12:00–4:00 PM ET · 3 OctOpen this window
▲ Up41%▼ Down60%
Price to beat
$84,851.70

Last 12: 9 Up, 3 Down

  1. Up
  2. Up
  3. Up
  4. Up
  5. Up
  6. Down
  7. Down
  8. Up
  9. Up
  10. Down
  11. Up
  12. Up

Settles on Chainlink BTC/USD — the 60-second average at the close — against the price at the open. Ties resolve Up.

Daily windows

All daily results
3 Oct → 4 Oct, 12:00 PM ETOpen this window
▲ Up47%▼ Down54%
Price to beat
Not posted yet. Polymarket’s data feed posts it shortly after the window opens.

Last 12: 7 Up, 4 Down, 1 not settled

  1. Up
  2. Down
  3. Up
  4. Down
  5. Up
  6. Up
  7. Down
  8. Down
  9. Up
  10. Up
  11. Up
  12. ?

Settles on Binance BTC/USDT: the closing price against the opening price. An exact tie resolves 50-50.

How these markets work

Each window is its own Polymarket market with two sides. A share of the side that settles pays $1, and a share of the other pays nothing, so a price of 64¢ reads as a 64% chance. Each window names the price source that settles it, shown above in the market’s own terms. How Up or Down works.

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