Bitcoin Up or Down: 4-hour windows
The Bitcoin 4-hour Up or Down market open now on Polymarket, its odds and price to beat, and how the last 12 windows settled.
Trade the live windowThe window open now
Polymarket odds as of Oct 3, 1:02 PM ET
Next: 4:00–8:00 PM ET · 3 Oct
The last 12 4-hour windows
9 Up, 3 Down
| Window (ET) | Price to beat | Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:00 AM–12:00 PM ET · 3 Oct | $84,655.63 | $84,851.70 | ▲ Up |
| 4:00–8:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,568.14 | $84,655.63 | ▲ Up |
| 12:00–4:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,680.28 | $84,568.14 | ▼ Down |
| 8:00 PM–12:00 AM ET · 3 Oct | $84,500.41 | $84,680.28 | ▲ Up |
| 4:00–8:00 PM ET · 2 Oct | $84,277.99 | $84,500.41 | ▲ Up |
| 12:00–4:00 PM ET · 2 Oct | $85,275.51 | $84,277.99 | ▼ Down |
| 8:00 AM–12:00 PM ET · 2 Oct | $86,418.28 | $85,275.51 | ▼ Down |
| 4:00–8:00 AM ET · 2 Oct | $86,037.31 | $86,418.28 | ▲ Up |
| 12:00–4:00 AM ET · 2 Oct | $85,493.46 | $86,037.31 | ▲ Up |
| 8:00 PM–12:00 AM ET · 2 Oct | $84,862.16 | $85,493.46 | ▲ Up |
| 4:00–8:00 PM ET · 1 Oct | $84,632.43 | $84,862.16 | ▲ Up |
| 12:00–4:00 PM ET · 1 Oct | $84,080.05 | $84,632.43 | ▲ Up |
A result is shown only once Polymarket has closed the window and its prices name a side; until then it reads “Not settled”. The price to beat and close are the figures Polymarket posted for each window, left blank where they were not posted or disagree with the result.
How a 4-hour window settles
Settles on Chainlink BTC/USD — the 60-second average at the close — against the price at the open. Ties resolve Up.
Polymarket’s data feed posts the price to beat shortly after each window opens. How Up or Down works.
4-hour Up or Down on other assets
Ethereum Up or Down 4-hourSolana Up or Down 4-hourXRP Up or Down 4-hour