Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Outcomes

• Stefan Brodie18%
• Donald Brodie16%
• Ryan Salame14%
• Keonne Rodriguez14%
• Matt Gaetz9%
• Julian Assange6%
• Steve Bannon6%
• Joe Exotic6%
• Bob Menendez5%
• Young Thug5%
• Elizabeth Holmes5%
• Eric Adams5%

+16 more outcomes

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.